Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.060871 0.068915 0.077178 0.086267 0.095957 0.105949 0.117003
2025-06-22 0.047294 0.059181 0.072064 0.086915 0.103425 0.121090 0.141295
2025-06-29 0.041048 0.055564 0.071947 0.091474 0.113808 0.138278 0.166853
2025-07-06 0.034329 0.050215 0.068856 0.091758 0.118608 0.148624 0.184275
2025-07-13 0.032671 0.050507 0.072007 0.098964 0.131077 0.167434 0.211069
2025-07-20 0.026736 0.044740 0.067277 0.096310 0.131628 0.172262 0.221672
2025-07-27 0.024677 0.043716 0.068188 0.100297 0.139894 0.185926 0.242361
2025-08-03 0.021663 0.041050 0.066740 0.101142 0.144203 0.194819 0.257419
2025-08-10 0.018965 0.038515 0.065224 0.101704 0.148013 0.203009 0.271569
2025-08-17 0.016116 0.035424 0.062712 0.100781 0.149822 0.208680 0.282650
2025-08-24 0.012677 0.030978 0.057998 0.096693 0.147431 0.209085 0.287302
2025-08-31 0.010217 0.027742 0.054721 0.094289 0.146991 0.211727 0.294517
2025-09-07 0.008877 0.026399 0.054326 0.096070 0.152352 0.222060 0.311753
2025-09-14 0.007380 0.024562 0.053104 0.096707 0.156301 0.230785 0.327261
2025-09-21 0.006945 0.024695 0.054882 0.101552 0.165808 0.246510 0.351407
2025-09-28 0.005693 0.022934 0.053536 0.101852 0.169223 0.254539 0.366093
2025-10-05 0.005884 0.024301 0.057261 0.109506 0.182527 0.275139 0.396364
2025-10-12 0.004343 0.021457 0.053891 0.106690 0.181640 0.277651 0.404214
2025-10-19 0.004042 0.021492 0.055313 0.110922 0.190314 0.292384 0.427277
2025-10-26 0.003331 0.020305 0.054541 0.111817 0.194393 0.301209 0.442979
2025-11-02 0.002685 0.019091 0.053618 0.112413 0.198016 0.309422 0.457911
2025-11-09 0.001986 0.017426 0.051734 0.111434 0.199380 0.314662 0.469080
2025-11-16 0.001170 0.014820 0.047823 0.107096 0.195883 0.313444 0.471997